@cbear : Wouldn't surprise me. The effects will start late tonight. Midnight until noon looks nasty.

My Lake Jackson/Freeport family are devestated at what's to come. They know they'll immediately lose power…..the small lower part of my elderly aunt's home will flood to about 4-6 inches with a cat one. Her furniture is now sits on 10 inch blocks. She's packing to head to dd's house with the rest of the family. They have a medium size generator, enough to keep freezers running, a few fans and some lamps. It's the aftermath with loss of power for a few days to a week that they dread. They tried to find a generator like costco has but no luck. Been looking a few days. My poor family. There are lots of adults, babies, toddlers and pups. 😩. She just paid her wind damage insurance 3k! Something's gotta give yall! That's nuts!

@StormChaser :
Thanks for the update, Storm Chaser. Do you ever sleep?

Why do these serious weather events have to happen at night-time?

I feel like this applies to Kingwood and surrounding areas.

Thank you so much. You are absolutely the best. I can't listen to TV reports because they hype it up and secretly (and not so secretly) live for these forecasts.
My family member lives in the historic district. He's elderly so evacuating him and his little dog is stressful. His house is raised but took on 4' of water during Ike and because it's on the registry of historic homes restoring it was an ordeal.
I told him to stay put and he will be okay. It's pretty much business as usual here in Galveston . A few news crews have been noticed along the seawall but that's about the only sign of an incoming storm we've seen.
We are starting to get a few outer bands of rain but sun in between. We are securing the beach house and will leave this afternoon.
I have been sharing your reports with others here and you are very much appreciated. @StormChaser :

Current radar 11am First outer bands are just coming on shore.

@jeepinbear thank you

It's mega!! Looking at radar

@StormChaser : IAH.is closed

BERYL UPDATE🌀Live recon flight is now finding 991mb - Beryl was 992mb at 1pm update. We could see Beryl become a category 1 hurricane in the coming hours - BUT - time is running out for it to strengthen which is good for us but we'll still have impacts starting tonight so please don't look at the "category" Brazoria and Wharton counties, you are now under a hurricane warning.

@StormChaser : Might be difficult sleeping tonight.

Jeff Lindner Beryl is starting to intensify.

Preparations to protect life and property MUST be completed this evening.

Tropical storm warning has been expanded to all counties in SE TX…Hurricane Warning remains for Matagorda and Jackson.

No changes to rainfall and storm surge values…this is increasingly becoming a "wind" event.

Onset of Tropical storm winds:

Coast: 800pm
I-10 corridor: 200am-300am Monday
HWY 105: 800am Monday


Updated Peak Wind Forecast:

Widespread strong tropical storm winds ae likely over much of the area…downing trees, power lines, some damage to roofs and windows, fences, ect will be possible Secure all loose outdoor objects…even well inland. Given the increasing forward speed, strong winds will move well inland over much of the area. Widespread power outages are likely that could last for several days…plan according.

Forecast winds by County:


Jackson: 60-80 g 90
Matagorda: 60-80 g 100
Brazoria: 45-55 g 85
Galveston: 35-45 g 60
Chambers: 30-40 g 65
Harris: 50-65 g 90
Fort Bend: 55-65 g 90
Austin: 35-50 g 75
Waller: 45-65 g 85
Wharton: 60-80 g 95
Colorado: 30-40 g 70
Liberty: 30-40
Montgomery: 45-60 g 70
Grimes: 35-45 g 70
Brazos: 30-40 g 50
Polk: 30-40 g 60
Trinity: 30-40 G 60
Walker: 35-45 g 75
San Jacinto: 45-55 g 70
Washington: 30-40 g 60
Victoria: 35-35 g 55
Calhoun: 45-55 gust 70

5 PM Sunday Tropical Storm Beryl update: Beryl is still expected to regain Cat 1 hurricane status as it approaches the Texas coast into early Monday morning - BUT - it's quickly running out of time to strengthen. The storm is still fighting off a layer of dry air aloft; IF it can overcome that, rapid intensification may occur before landfall. IF not, expect a tropical storm or Cat 1 at landfall overnight into early tomorrow AM.This is good news for us but that doesn't mean to let your guard down just yet. Tropical systems have a mind of their own as we've all seen with this storm.

SUNDAY EVENING NOTES ON TS BERYL: *Beryl, with sustained winds of 65 mph, is about 135 miles east/southeast of Corpus Christi, and is moving to the northwest at 12 mph.*Satellite images indicate that Beryl continues to gradual organize with more banding features near the center, expanding outflow and strong bursts of convection rotating around the eyewall. *However, dry air is still present within the inner core, keeping the intensification slow at this time, with only a broken banded eyewall structure.*The intensity forecast is tricky because the environment is becoming quite favorable for significant intensification as Beryl should be moving over sea-surface temperatures near 87F tonight and light shear, plus even an enhancement of jet dynamics north of the storm. *All of the model guidance respond to these conditions by showing a large increase in deep convection near the center and higher winds. *However, some less predictable factors could prevent a big increase in winds, including dry air in the inner core, a somewhat large radius of maximum winds, and slightly faster landfall timing. *Given that the regional hurricane models still show significant deepening, the official forecast continues to call for near rapid intensification through landfall.*The current NHC forecast is for landfall on the Texas coast just northeast of Matagorda Bay early tomorrow morning with winds of 85 mph.*After Beryl moves inland, the latest guidance turns the system northeastward late tomorrow and it becomes a post-tropical cyclone inland.